Using moving average is an helpful way to determine the trend of the market. The popular technique is to using a fast moving average , say 10 days, and a slow moving average, say 30 days, and plot these curves on top of the price chart. Whenever the fast moving average cross the slow moving average, it indicates a trend is developing. If 10 days MA cross 30 days MA, this means prices is on the rise. I found that using 2 moving average is helpful to determine the trend of the market. But there could be a lot of WHIPSAW, (MA cross above and below frequently), it could be quite confusing. Therefore, I will use one more slower moving average to helps eliminate whipsaw. A 50 days MA is useful in combination 10 and 30 days. Thus, I'll wait MA 10 cross MA 30 AND MA50 as a true confirmation of the trend. It still not perfect, but at least it can eliminate some whipsaw compare using only just two moving average.
Sunday, December 16, 2007
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